Know More. Risk Better.

US & Euro 4Q24/2025 Preview Outlook

Join Winnie Cisar, the Global Head of Strategy, along with Zachary Griffiths, Head of US Macro & IG Strategy, and Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy, for a special episode of "Know More, Risk Better." This week, the Global Strategy team presented its 2025 Preliminary Outlook for the US, Euro, and Sterling markets, highlighting key themes for the upcoming year and providing initial forecast scenarios. Together, they discussed how the outcome of the US election could influence market performance, the trajectory of central banks, and potential risks to the outlook.

Unveiling the Backbone: Inside the World of Data Centers

On CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, Davis Hebert and Erick Vega join host Winnie Cisar to explore the fascinating and often mysterious world of data centers. Dive into the infrastructure that powers our digital lives, from the storage of Instagram photos to the streaming of your favorite shows. Discover the inner workings of these massive facilities, the differences between hyperscale and colocation data centers, and how emerging technologies like generative AI are driving unprecedented demand. Tune in to unravel the complexities of data centers and understand their critical role in our ever-evolving digital landscape. Whether you're a tech enthusiast or just curious about where your data lives, this episode is packed with insights and expert analysis you won’t want to miss.

A New State of Play in European Autos

In the latest episode of the "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights, is joined by Jim Williamson, Senior European Autos Analyst. They cover key developments in the European automotive sector, including the shift from volume to value, the impact of rising dealer inventories, declining used car prices, and the challenges posed by stringent emissions regulations and Chinese EV competition. The discussion also touches on recent changes in sector recommendations and specific stock picks for investors.

Decoding U.S. Consumer Trends: Spending Patterns and Market Indicators

On CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, Jesse Rosenthal, James Goldstein, and James Dunn join host Winnie Caesar to delve into the pressing questions surrounding consumer behavior and market conditions. They explore the current state of consumer health, spending patterns, and key indicators that signal broader market trends. Gain valuable insights into which metrics our experts rely on to forecast consumer spending and understand the underlying factors influencing the market today. Tune in to uncover the nuances and expert analyses that shape our understanding of the consumer landscape. Discover how factors like retail sales, credit card data, and discretionary spending are influencing the market, and what this means for the future of consumer behavior.

Navigating Tight Pricing and Leverage in Private Credit

In this episode of "Know More. Risk Better.", Winnie Cisar is joined by Andrew Hedlund, Managing Editor at LevFin Insights, to discuss current trends in private credit. They highlight the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and their potential impact on the market, noting that tight pricing benefits borrowers with lower interest payments. The discussion also covers high leverage in private credit deals, a growing deal pipeline, and significant fundraising efforts, such as Ares' $34 billion in investable capital. Additionally, they address macroeconomic impacts, concerns about defaults, the use of payment-in-kind (PIK) options, and sector-specific challenges, particularly in healthcare.

European Leveraged Finance Update: Issuance, Demand, and Market Sentiment

In the latest episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights, is joined by Luke Millar, Global Editor-in-Chief of LevFin Insights, to explore current developments and forward-looking trends in the European leveraged finance markets.
They delve into key topics such as the performance of the high-yield market, driven by a recovery in stressed sectors like real estate, elevated carry from high starting yields and narrowing credit risk premiums. The discussion also covers the dynamics between fixed and floating rate leveraged debt, the market's appetite for risk, the pivotal role of CLOs, and the outlook for future issuance and refinancing activities amid shifting interest rates and M&A pipelines. 

Leveraged Loan Primary Insights: From Market Technicals to Fund Flows

In the latest episode of CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Winnie Cisar is joined by Kerry Kantin, US Bureau Chief at LevFin Insights. They delve into the recent increase in M&A and LBO-related financings against the backdrop of a falling-rate environment, resulting in a $39 billion leveraged loan pipeline. The discussion highlights how falling base rates benefit loan issuers and underscores repricing activities that extend loan maturities. Additionally, the episode covers fund flows, market technicals, and return prospects, noting that high-yield bonds should get a boost as rates decline. It wraps up with an insightful discussion on SOFR floors and CSAs in loan documentation.

Welcome Back!

The Know More Risk Better is back for Season 07! Join our host Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy as she is joined by Logan Miller, European Head of Strategy, as they set the stage for the season ahead.
This episode covers recent market dynamics and year-end expectations, focusing on US & European investment-grade (IG) and high-yield (HY) markets. Key topics include robust primary market activities, consumer trends, economic outlooks, US job reports' impact on credit spreads, and anticipated central bank easing cycles. They also examine the potential market implications of the upcoming US elections and the revival of the debt ceiling debate.